Joint Economic Forecast Fall 2023

Purchasing power returns ‒ political uncertainty high

According to the Joint Economic Forecast, Germany's gross domestic product declines by 0.6% in 2023.

This is a strong downward revision of 0.9 percentage points from the forecast made in spring 2023. "The most important reason for this revision is that industry and private con-sumption are recovering more slowly than we expected in spring," says Oliver Holtemöller, Vice President and Head of the Macroeconomics Department at the Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).

Full report available here


About the Joint Economic Forecast

The Joint Economic Forecast is published twice a year on behalf of the German Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and Climate Action. The Institute for Advanced Studies (IHS) takes part in the publication as the partner institute of RWI Leibnitz-Institute for Economic Research.